Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.