Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.