Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Pohang Steelers had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Pohang Steelers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.