Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chengdu Rongcheng in this match.