Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.