Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qingdao Youth Island in this match.