Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.