Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.