Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.