Chinese Super League Gameweek 5
Apr 9, 2024 12.35pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Workers' Stadium
  • Fang Hao 31' yellowcard
  • Michael Ngadeu-Ngadjui 82' yellowcard
  • Zhang Xizhe 90'+6' goal
  • goal Zhi Li 24'
  • yellowcard Zhang Yudong 29'
  • yellowcard Zhi Li 51'
  • yellowcard Baojie Zhu 45'+8'
  • goal Edu Garcia 66'
  • yellowcard Qiao Wang 87'

Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 5, 2024 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan 2 - 2 Shanghai Port
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Fabio Abreu

Sichuan Jiuniu

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 5, 2024 12.00pm
Henan 0 - 2 Sichuan
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Edu Garcia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sichuan Jiuniu would win this match.

Result

Beijing Guoan 35.1% (+0.02)
Draw 25.35% (-0.03)
Sichuan Jiuniu 39.55% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.6% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 47.4% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 30.39% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 69.61% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 14.94% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.06% (-0.09)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5 73.86% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.14% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.78% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.21% (-0.11)

Sichuan Jiuniu Goals

Over 0.5 76.29% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.71% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 42.17% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 57.83% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Beijing Guoan 35.1%
Draw 25.34%
Sichuan Jiuniu 39.55%
Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.03% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
Sichuan Jiuniu
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.55%