Chinese Super League Gameweek 9
May 1, 2024 8.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Changchun's People Stadium
  • Li Shenyuan 27' yellowcard
  • Guilherme 45' yellowcard
  • Robert Beric 46' goal
  • Yake Wu 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zhang Yudong 19'
  • goal Rade Dugalic 76'
  • yellowcard Matt Orr 84'

Changchun Yatai vs Sichuan Jiuniu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 26, 2024 12.35pm
Changchun 0 - 1 Meizhou Hakka
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Robert Beric

Sichuan Jiuniu

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Apr 26, 2024 12.00pm
Sichuan 1 - 3 Qingdao Hainiu
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Edu Garcia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Changchun Yatai 21.97% (-0.42)
Draw 24.64% (+0.68)
Sichuan Jiuniu 53.39% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.54% (-2.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.96% (-3.15)
Under 2.5 52.04% (+3.15)
Over 3.5 26.23% (-2.78)
Under 3.5 73.77% (+2.79)
Over 4.5 12.15% (-1.85)
Under 4.5 87.85% (+1.85)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% (-2.17)
Under 0.5 38.5% (+2.17)
Over 1.5 24.75% (-2.13)
Under 1.5 75.25% (+2.14)

Sichuan Jiuniu Goals

Over 0.5 80.56% (-1.30)
Under 0.5 19.44% (+1.30)
Over 1.5 48.72% (-2.17)
Under 1.5 51.28% (+2.17)

Score analysis

Changchun Yatai 21.97%
Draw 24.64%
Sichuan Jiuniu 53.38%
Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 7.14% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 3.41% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 7.49% (+0.90)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.35)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.64%
Sichuan Jiuniu
0-1 @ 12.25% (+1.00)
0-2 @ 10.03% (+0.43)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-0.30)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.31)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.22)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.18)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 53.38%