Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
May 1, 2024 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 1
Sichuan

Beric (46')
Shenyuan (27'), Guilherme (45'), Wu (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dugalic (76')
Yudong (19'), Orr (84')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Sichuan Jiuniu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Meizhou Hakka
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Sichuan Jiuniu

All competitions
Last Game: Sichuan 1-3 Qingdao Hainiu
Friday, April 26 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawSichuan Jiuniu
21.97% (-0.413 -0.41)24.64% (0.676 0.68)53.39% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-2.57 -2.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (-3.141 -3.14)52.04% (3.144 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-2.779 -2.78)73.77% (2.783 2.78)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-2.167 -2.17)38.5% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-2.13 -2.13)75.25% (2.133 2.13)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-1.294 -1.29)19.44% (1.297 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-2.166 -2.17)51.28% (2.168 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 21.97%
    Sichuan Jiuniu 53.38%
    Draw 24.64%
Changchun YataiDrawSichuan Jiuniu
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.469 0.47)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.893 0.89)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 12.25% (1 1)
0-2 @ 10.03% (0.428 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.304 -0.3)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 53.38%