Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.