Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 69.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.