Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.