Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.