Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.