Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Henan had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Henan win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.