Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.