Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10

May 5, 2024 at 8.30am UK

Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Nantong Zhiyun
2 - 3
Changchun

Cao (41'), Godinez (90+10')
Yang (71'), Jiang (84'), Kallon (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Serginho (7'), Long (60', 72')
Long (17'), Mincheng (41'), Wang (48'), Guilherme (75')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Nantong Zhiyun and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantong Zhiyun

All competitions

Last Game: Shandong 3-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Tuesday, April 30 at 11am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Sichuan
Wednesday, May 1 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Nantong Zhiyun	Draw	Changchun Yatai
38.85% ( -0.06)	26.61% ( 0.16)	34.54% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 52.02% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.09% (

-0.68)

52.9% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.49% (

-0.58)

74.51% (

0.59)

Nantong Zhiyun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

-0.35)

26.59% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.19% (

-0.47)

61.81% (

0.47)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0.39)

29.13% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-0.49)

65.06% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Nantong Zhiyun 38.85%

Changchun Yatai 34.54%

Draw 26.61%

Nantong Zhiyun	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.85%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.54%