Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17

Jun 30, 2024 at 1pm UK

Kunshan Sports Center Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 0
Shandong

Adegbenro (4'), Abreu (6')
Li (77'), Yang (90+1'), Wang (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lisheng (30')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-0 Cangzhou
Wednesday, June 26 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Shandong Taishan

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 2-2 Shandong
Wednesday, June 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Shandong Taishan
44.71% ( 0.1)	24.84% ( -0)	30.45% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.45% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.44% (

-0.03)

46.56% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

-0.03)

68.83% (

0.03)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

0.04)

20.88% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

0.05)

53.59% (

-0.05)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

-0.08)

28.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

-0.1)

64.47% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 44.71%

Shandong Taishan 30.45%

Draw 24.84%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Shandong Taishan
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.71%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.45%