Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Henan had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Henan	Draw	Beijing Guoan
29.88% ( 0.05)	25.29% ( 0.03)	44.83% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 54.64% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22% (

-0.12)

48.77% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

-0.11)

70.88% (

0.11)

Henan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

-0.03)

30.17% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

-0.03)

66.32% (

0.03)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.09)

21.75% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-0.14)

54.93% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Henan 29.88%

Beijing Guoan 44.82%

Draw 25.28%

Henan	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.88%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.82%