Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.