Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12

May 17, 2024 at 12.35pm UK

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
2 - 3
Wuhan TT

Nazario (30' pen.), Keqiang (62')
Li (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mendes (14', 39'), Henrique (84' pen.)
Hang (28'), Xiaobin (36'), Dianzuo (70')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Wuhan Three Towns.

Form, Standings, Stats

Henan

All competitions

Last Game: Chengdu 4-2 Henan
Friday, May 10 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions

Last Game: Wuhan TT 1-2 Shandong
Saturday, May 11 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Henan	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
51.08% ( 1.01)	23.73% ( -0.17)	25.18% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79%

45.2% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

-0)

67.54% (

-0.01)

Henan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

0.38)

17.73% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6% (

0.66)

48.39% (

-0.67)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14% (

-0.68)

31.85% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

-0.79)

68.29% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Henan 51.08%

Wuhan Three Towns 25.18%

Draw 23.73%

Henan	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.08%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.18%