Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
46.67% ( 0.51)	24.87% ( -0.16)	28.46% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.25% (

0.48)

47.75% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06% (

0.44)

69.94% (

-0.44)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

0.42)

20.51% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.99% (

0.66)

53.01% (

-0.66)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-0.01)

30.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09% (

-0)

66.91% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns 46.67%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 28.46%

Draw 24.87%

Wuhan Three Towns	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.67%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.46%