Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.