Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.