Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Henan had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.