Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 9.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.56%) and 0-3 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.