Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 18
Jul 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Jinzhou Stadium

Cangzhou
1 - 1
Sichuan

Heber (20')
Obileye (9'), Heber (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ortiz (43')
Li (28'), Yudong (70')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Sichuan Jiuniu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chengdu 4-0 Cangzhou
Sunday, June 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 3-0 Sichuan
Saturday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawSichuan Jiuniu
16.73% (0.249 0.25)23.54% (0.224 0.22)59.72% (-0.477 -0.48)
Both teams to score 44.47% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.459 -0.46)54.42% (0.45699999999999 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.383 -0.38)75.79% (0.38 0.38)
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (0.049999999999997 0.05)45.8% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)81.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.342 -0.34)17.95% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-0.586 -0.59)48.78% (0.583 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 16.73%
    Sichuan Jiuniu 59.72%
    Draw 23.54%
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawSichuan Jiuniu
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 4.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.73%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 14.12% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.94% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.72%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 11.35am
Gameweek 3
Sichuan
2-2
Cangzhou
Garcia (25'), Wei (45+7')
Wang (11'), Dugalic (41'), Rui (60'), Garcia (90+7'), Wang (90+8')
Heber (12' pen.), Maritu (90+10')
Wen (41'), Zhao (42'), Yao (90+8')
Wang (90+4')