Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.