Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.