Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.