Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 89.69%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 2.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.46%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.