Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.