Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
May 18, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium
Shanghai Port

Qingdao Youth Island
3 - 5
Shanghai Port

Carvalho (35', 56'), Ang (62' og.)
Haroyan (20'), Chen (67'), Piao (71')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Lei (24', 80'), Gustavo (31', 43'), Vargas (51')
Vargas (45+10'), Browning (55'), Cittadini (70')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Qingdao Youth Island and Shanghai Port.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qingdao Youth Island

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sichuan 1-2 Qingdao Youth Island
Sunday, May 12 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shanghai Port

All competitions
Last Game: Shanghai Port 5-2 Changchun
Friday, May 10 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.46%) and 0-3 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.

Result
Qingdao Youth IslandDrawShanghai Port
9.07% (-1.568 -1.57)17.6% (-0.749 -0.75)73.33% (2.319 2.32)
Both teams to score 40.49% (-3.471 -3.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.55% (-1.318 -1.32)47.44% (1.32 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (-1.234 -1.23)69.65% (1.235 1.24)
Qingdao Youth Island Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.72% (-4.067 -4.07)54.28% (4.069 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.55% (-2.642 -2.64)87.44% (2.645 2.65)
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56% (0.261 0.26)11.44% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.76% (0.561 0.56)36.24% (-0.56 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Qingdao Youth Island 9.07%
    Shanghai Port 73.32%
    Draw 17.6%
Qingdao Youth IslandDrawShanghai Port
1-0 @ 3.79% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-1 @ 2.51% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-0 @ 1.16% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 9.07%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.457 -0.46)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.335 0.34)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.484 -0.48)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 17.6%
0-2 @ 14.59% (1.07 1.07)
0-1 @ 13.46% (0.86 0.86)
0-3 @ 10.54% (0.869 0.87)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.398 -0.4)
1-3 @ 6.45% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-4 @ 5.72% (0.529 0.53)
1-4 @ 3.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-5 @ 2.48% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 73.32%