Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jun 26, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Qingdao Tiantai Stadium

Qingdao Hainiu
1 - 5
Chengdu

Kangwa (45+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Romulo (7', 51'), Palacios (26'), Silva (65'), Chow (80')
Hu (55')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Qingdao Hainiu and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Qingdao Hainiu
Sunday, June 16 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-1 Chengdu
Sunday, June 16 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.

Result
Qingdao HainiuDrawChengdu Rongcheng
24.72% (0.462 0.46)23.76% (0.050999999999998 0.05)51.52% (-0.51799999999999 -0.52)
Both teams to score 55.52% (0.332 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.203 0.2)45.7% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.192 0.19)68.02% (-0.197 -0.2)
Qingdao Hainiu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (0.499 0.5)32.49% (-0.505 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.562 0.56)69.02% (-0.568 -0.57)
Chengdu Rongcheng Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.122 -0.12)17.75% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (-0.204 -0.2)48.44% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Qingdao Hainiu 24.72%
    Chengdu Rongcheng 51.52%
    Draw 23.76%
Qingdao HainiuDrawChengdu Rongcheng
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.72%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.62% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.52%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 11.35am
Gameweek 1
Chengdu
2-0
Qingdao Hainiu
Andrigo (30'), Li (90')
Letschert (50'), Li (90'), (90+5')

Jinghang (45+1')
Aug 4, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 20
Qingdao Hainiu
3-2
Chengdu
Wang (7'), Brown Forbes (33'), Saric (45+3')
Andrigo (49'), Elkeson (83')
Chow (52')
May 6, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 5
Chengdu
3-2
Qingdao Hainiu
Romulo (1'), Elkeson (40'), Silva (50')
Wei (61'), Kangwa (63')