Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.