Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.