Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.