Chinese Super League | Gameweek 24

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.35pm UK

Shenzhen Bao'an Stadium

Sichuan
2 - 1
Changchun

Garcia (83'), Dugalic (90+6')
Wei (32'), Karzev (45+2'), Garcia (50'), Dugalic (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Serginho (18' pen.)
Zulj (59'), Wang (67'), Rosic (79')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Sichuan Jiuniu and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sichuan Jiuniu

Last Game: Sichuan 0-0 Henan
Saturday, July 13 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 3-2 Changchun
Saturday, July 13 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sichuan Jiuniu in this match.

Result
Sichuan Jiuniu	Draw	Changchun Yatai
44.62% ( 0.06)	24.62% ( -0)	30.76% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.56% (

-0.01)

45.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.23% (

-0.01)

67.77% (

0.01)

Sichuan Jiuniu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.03)

20.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

0.04)

52.92% (

-0.03)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.04)

27.89% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

-0.05)

63.5% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu 44.62%

Changchun Yatai 30.76%

Draw 24.62%

Sichuan Jiuniu	Draw	Changchun Yatai
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.62%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.76%