Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.