J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Ienaga (8', 8'), Kobayashi (27', 27'), Marcinho (48', 48')
Jung (78'), Jung (78')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Matsuoka (52', 52')
Inoue (53'), Inoue (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 4-5 Kawasaki
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Urawa
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAvispa Fukuoka
57.82% (4.326 4.33)22.55% (-1.243 -1.24)19.63% (-3.082 -3.08)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.502 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (1.534 1.53)46.32% (-1.53 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (1.427 1.43)68.61% (-1.425 -1.43)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (2.08 2.08)15.74% (-2.078 -2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16% (3.714 3.71)44.84% (-3.712 -3.71)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-2.187 -2.19)37.64% (2.191 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-2.204 -2.2)74.42% (2.206 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 57.81%
    Avispa Fukuoka 19.63%
    Draw 22.55%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.723 0.72)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.838 0.84)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.495 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.555 0.56)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.402 0.4)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.124 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.263 0.26)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.81%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.59 -0.59)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.761 -0.76)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.629 -0.63)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.569 -0.57)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.253 -0.25)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 19.63%

Head to Head
May 6, 2024 6am
Gameweek 12
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
Kawasaki
Konno (85')
Yamada (75')
Erison (43')
Oct 20, 2023 11am
Gameweek 30
Kawasaki
4-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Segawa (20'), Kobayashi (84'), Tono (90+2'), Miyashiro (90+6')
Ominami (11')
Grolli (24'), Yamagishi (66')
Grolli (62')
Apr 29, 2023 9am
Gameweek 10
Avispa Fukuoka
1-3
Kawasaki
Tsuruno (85')
Noborizato (12'), Miyashiro (47'), Nara (65' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 11am
Gameweek 26
Avispa Fukuoka
1-4
Kawasaki
Yamagishi (22')
Yamagishi (46')
Grolli (70')
Marcinho (7', 45', 64'), Ienaga (73' pen.)
May 14, 2022 8am
Gameweek 13
Kawasaki
2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Tono (55'), Kurumaya (59')
rhs 2.0


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