Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.