Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.