Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 87.49%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 4-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.