Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.