Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 7.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.98%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.