Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.