Chinese Super League | Gameweek 26

Sep 20, 2024 at 12.35pm UK

Huitang Stadium

Meizhou Hakka
1 - 3
Beijing Guoan

Conraad (61')
Ristic (49'), Wei (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Li (11'), Rodrigues (73'), Dabao (89')
Liangming (48'), Dabao (86'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (87')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Meizhou Hakka and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Meizhou Hakka

All competitions

Last Game: Cangzhou 2-1 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Chengdu 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, September 14 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Beijing Guoan
31.54% ( 0.75)	24.12% ( -0.12)	44.34% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 59.5% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.21% (

0.9)

42.79% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8% (

0.89)

65.19% (

-0.89)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

0.92)

26.08% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

1.22)

61.13% (

-1.22)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.09)

19.49% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63% (

0.16)

51.37% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 31.54%

Beijing Guoan 44.34%

Draw 24.12%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.54%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 44.34%