Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.