Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
42.13% ( 0.29)	24.38% ( 0.02)	33.49% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 59.35% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67% (

-0.17)

43.33% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27% (

-0.17)

65.73% (

0.17)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

0.06)

20.7% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

0.1)

53.3% (

-0.09)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0.26)

25.16% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

-0.36)

59.88% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 42.13%

Kawasaki Frontale 33.49%

Draw 24.38%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.13%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.49%