Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.