Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
36.29% ( 0.02)	25.99% ( 0.39)	37.71% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 54.25% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85% (

-1.7)

50.14% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89% (

-1.53)

72.1% (

1.53)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

-0.78)

26.74% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

-1.04)

62.01% (

1.04)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

-1.01)

25.94% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06% (

-1.38)

60.94% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 36.29%

Shimizu S-Pulse 37.71%

Draw 25.99%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 36.29%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.71%