Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.