J1 League | Gameweek 7
Mar 29, 2025 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Albirex Niigata
3 - 3
Gamba Osaka

Hasegawa (18', 18'), Okumura (74', 74'), Yamura (82', 82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jebali (43', 43', 67', 67'), Usami (90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 15 at 5am in J1 League

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawGamba Osaka
32.85% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.44% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.71% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.48% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.192 -0.19)48.27% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (-0.174 -0.17)70.42% (0.173 0.17)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)27.93% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.228 -0.23)63.56% (0.226 0.23)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)23.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.052 -0.05)56.81% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 32.85%
    Gamba Osaka 41.71%
    Draw 25.43%
Albirex NiigataDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.71%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 5am
Gameweek 37
Albirex Niigata
0-1
Gamba Osaka

Fitzgerald (22'), Hashimoto (56')
Yamada (18')
Mar 2, 2024 6am
Gameweek 2
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Albirex Niigata
Usami (75' pen.)
Kishimoto (58'), Ichimori (64')
Sep 17, 2023 11am
Gameweek 27
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Albirex Niigata
Meshino (63')
Mito (83')
May 28, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Albirex Niigata
1-3
Gamba Osaka
Fitzgerald (48')
Shimada (6')
Kurata (2'), Alano (43'), Kurokawa (56')