Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.